Valuing Dutchman

Valuing Dutchman

Bargain priced, but solid and growing

Sam Hollanders's avatar
Sam Hollanders
Jun 26, 2024
∙ Paid
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You can choose companies that you want to hold forever, but there are also opportunities with more cyclical companies where, as a contrarian investor, you can frequently enter and exit.

The company I am presenting today is one that I previously bought in 2017, 2018, and 2020. The profit from the first purchase was not significant upon sale last year; however, the investment from the last purchase more than tripled.

Upon selling, I mentioned that it was not a farewell but a 'see you later'; I did not expect this 'see you later' to come so soon.

Thanks to this cyclicality, today we can re-enter at 85% of the book value for a company with a solid balance sheet and capable management, which is also active in a growth market.

The thesis here is straightforward: the difference in vision between short and long-term as an investor creates this opportunity, with a wide margin of safety below tangible book value.

Some multiples:

  • 3,1 x EV/EBITDA ( 2,9 x expected EV/EBITDA)

  • 5 x  EV/EBIT (5,4 x expected EV/EBIT)

  • 6 x Koers/Winst (7x expected P/E)

  • 0,85 P/B

I introduce you to:

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